SINGAPORE: More than half of 2,023 respondents polled across 11 Southeast Asian countries would side with the United States over China “if the region were forced to align itself with one of the two strategic rivals”, according to findings published in an annual think tank survey.
The State of Southeast Asia 2025 report, based on polls conducted by the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute (ISEAS) between Jan 3 and Feb 15 and released on Thursday (Apr 3), examined regional perceptions on strategic issues and the influence of major powers.
When asked to pick between the US and China, 52.3 per cent of respondents favoured the US while 47.7 per cent supported China.
The ISEAS report also added that more than half of respondents believed the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) should “enhance its resilience and unity to fend off pressures from the two global powers”.
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“This narrow margin underscores ASEAN’s delicate balancing act between the two major powers as economic interdependence with China competes with security considerations and more comfortable historical ties to the US,” the report said.
The latest findings have put Washington ahead of Beijing again after being Southeast Asia’s preferred choice of strategic partner for four straight years.
Southeast Asia with its 680 million-strong population, is becoming increasingly crucial to both US and China’s interests.
This year’s ISEAS report surveyed 2,023 people across 10 ASEAN member states and for the first time, included inputs from respondents in Timor-Leste which hopes to become a full member of ASEAN in 2025.
Respondents included researchers, media representatives, non-government organisations (NGOs), regional government officials, private sector representatives and members of civil society.
US support was found to be the strongest among respondents in Vietnam and the Philippines – “likely driven by ongoing territorial disputes with China in the South China Sea, as well as growing security partnerships with Washington”, the report said.
South China Sea tensions topped the list of geopolitical concerns in the region, followed by criminal scam syndicates and concerns over new US leadership.
Support for China, driven by “deep economic ties, trade dependencies as well as growing discontent with US policies”, was found to be strongest among respondents from Indonesia – followed by those in Malaysia, Thailand, Brunei and Laos.
Confidence in Washington had further strengthened around the region, following the re-election of President Donald Trump, the ISEAS report said.
But it cited concerns from more than half of survey respondents over President Trump’s unpredictable character, saying it would “add uncertainty to US engagement with the region”.
Source: CNA
